UFC 329 Full Card, Odds, and Predictions: Every Fight on McGregor vs Holloway 2
McGregor's return is the reason the world is tuning in, but UFC 329 on Saturday, July 11, 2026 is a genuinely deep card from top to bottom. Here is the full lineup, the latest betting odds, and an honest prediction for every fight, from the welterweight main event down to the prelims. Odds move constantly, so we refresh this page as fight week approaches. You can rate how hyped you are for each of these fights on Good Fights.
What is the full UFC 329 fight card?
Here is the confirmed lineup. Card placement and matchups can still change before fight week, so treat the undercard order as provisional:
Main card
- Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway (Welterweight, main event)
- Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett (Lightweight, co-main)
- Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, rematch)
- Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight)
- Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight)
- Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight)
Prelims and undercard (provisional)
- Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight)
- Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong (Flyweight)
- Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida (Middleweight)
- Kai Kamaka III vs Luke Riley (Featherweight)
- Ryan Gandra vs Zachary Reese (Middleweight)
- Ode' Osbourne vs Cody Durden (Flyweight)
What are the betting odds for the UFC 329 main card?
Here are the latest lines across major sportsbooks. Odds vary by book and will keep moving as money comes in, so use these as a snapshot rather than a fixed number:
- McGregor vs Holloway: Holloway is the favorite and McGregor the underdog. The current consensus line and how it has moved since the fight was announced are in the live chart below.
- Saint-Denis vs Pimblett: Saint-Denis favored around -200, Pimblett +170
- Sandhagen vs Bautista: close to a pick'em, with Bautista a slight favorite near -150 and Sandhagen around +130
- Royval vs Kavanagh: Kavanagh favored around -170, Royval +145
- Steveson vs Ellison: Steveson a massive favorite near -1800, Ellison +900
- Whittaker vs Krylov: Whittaker favored, lines firming up as fight week nears
How have the McGregor vs Holloway odds moved?
As of June 22, 2026, Max Holloway is the favorite at around -252, roughly a 72% implied chance, and Conor McGregor is the underdog at about +202, roughly 33%. McGregor has gained ground since the line opened in May.
We update this chart daily as the lines move. The percentage next to each fighter is their latest implied win probability, with the moneyline in parentheses.
Who wins McGregor vs Holloway 2? Our prediction
The smart money is on Holloway, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. A five-year layoff, a surgically repaired leg, and the wrong stylistic matchup against a fighter at the peak of his craft is a very hard ask. The most likely outcome is Holloway weathering an early McGregor surge and taking over as the fight gets deep.
But McGregor always has the puncher's chance. He needs roughly one clean left hand in the first ten minutes, and that is a real, live path. Prediction: Holloway by late stoppage or decision, with a genuine asterisk for McGregor's early power. For the full breakdown of this fight, see our complete McGregor vs Holloway 2 guide.
Who wins Saint-Denis vs Pimblett? (Co-main event)
This is a terrific co-main and a real crossroads fight for both. Paddy Pimblett is one of the UFC's biggest draws and has improved every time out, but Benoit Saint-Denis is a relentless, high-pace finisher who pressures and grinds. The oddsmakers lean Saint-Denis, and the logic is sound: his volume and toughness test Pimblett's defense and cardio in ways few of Paddy's previous opponents have.
Prediction: Saint-Denis by stoppage or hard-fought decision, but Pimblett's durability and finishing instinct make this live until the final horn.
Who wins Sandhagen vs Bautista 2?
A rematch between two of the slickest bantamweights in the division, and the closest fight on the main card to a coin flip. Cory Sandhagen is the more proven, more creative striker, while Mario Bautista has surged up the rankings on a long win streak and edges the betting line. Styles make this one competitive wherever it goes.
Prediction: a close, high-level decision that could genuinely go either way. Slight lean to Sandhagen's experience in the championship rounds.
Who wins Whittaker vs Krylov?
Robert Whittaker, a former middleweight champion, moving to light heavyweight to face the rugged veteran Nikita Krylov is a fascinating size-versus-speed test. Whittaker's hand speed, footwork, and fight IQ are elite, but Krylov is dangerous everywhere and carries real power up at 205.
Prediction: Whittaker's speed and craft win the exchanges. Whittaker by decision, with live finishing danger from Krylov if it hits the mat.
Who wins Royval vs Kavanagh?
Brandon Royval is an action-first, all-or-nothing flyweight who is always in entertaining fights, while Lone'er Kavanagh is a rising talent the books currently favor. This is a stylistic treat: Royval's chaos against Kavanagh's poise.
Prediction: whoever wins, the fans win. Lean Kavanagh by decision, but Royval's scramble-heavy style gives him a finish path at any moment.
Who wins Steveson vs Ellison?
Olympic gold medalist wrestler Gable Steveson is one of the most heavily favored fighters on the entire card, and for good reason: his pedigree and athleticism are off the charts. Elisha Ellison is a sizable underdog. The question is less who wins and more whether Steveson's still-developing striking gets tested.
Prediction: Steveson by stoppage or dominant decision. The interest is in how he looks, not whether he wins.
Which UFC 329 prelim fight should I watch?
A few undercard bouts are worth showing up early for. Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez is a pure-violence bantamweight matchup between two knockout artists with shaky chins, which is a recipe for a highlight-reel finish in either direction. Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong is a meaningful flyweight ranking fight. And Cesar Almeida brings legitimate kickboxing power to the middleweight prelims.
If you only catch one prelim, make it Garbrandt vs Yanez. It rarely goes the distance.
What is the most likely Fight of the Night at UFC 329?
Beyond the main event, the strongest barnburner candidates are Saint-Denis vs Pimblett (two fighters who refuse to take a step back), Garbrandt vs Yanez (two finishers with thin margins for error), and Royval vs Kavanagh (Royval is a Fight of the Night machine). Our pick for the likeliest fireworks outside the McGregor fight is Saint-Denis vs Pimblett.
What is the most likely upset on the card?
McGregor himself is the headline upset pick as a sizable underdog, and the whole world is hoping for it. On the undercard, watch Sandhagen vs Bautista, which is close enough that calling either man an "upset" is generous, and Royval over Kavanagh, where Royval's finishing chaos could overturn the favorite. The cleanest pure-underdog dart throw is McGregor, for obvious reasons.
Quick answers: UFC 329 card and odds
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
- Main event: Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway, welterweight, non-title
- Co-main: Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett
- Biggest favorite: Gable Steveson (around -1800)
- Closest fight: Sandhagen vs Bautista (near pick'em)
- Main event favorite: Max Holloway (current line and movement in the chart above)
- Our main-event pick: Holloway by late stoppage or decision
Related reading
- McGregor vs Holloway 2 at UFC 329: everything you need to know - the complete guide: history, tale of the tape, and our prediction.
- How to watch UFC 329: is it on Paramount+? - plans, price, free options, start times, and how to watch by country.
- Every Conor McGregor fight, ranked - from the forgettable to the unforgettable, his whole career in order.
Make your own picks count. Rate every fight on the UFC 329 card and log your predictions on Good Fights. Never miss a Good Fight.